Trend-Following Trading Dashboard
Last updated: 2026-10-26T05:43:10.622728+00:00
Auto-refreshing every 3 minutes
Quick Scan
(MA20/MA50/RSI heuristic -- separate from the validated strategy below)
DBC
BUY
$34.1
MA2033.06
MA5032.39
RSI1467.2
TLT
SELL
$81.34
MA2078.73
MA5080.26
RSI1463.4
GLD
SELL
$366.61
MA20379.09
MA50394.5
RSI1434.1
SPY
BUY
$759.97
MA20770.15
MA50766.9
RSI1442.3
Backtest Performance vs. SPY Buy&Hold (validated strategy)
| Metric | Strategy | SPY Buy&Hold |
|---|
| total_return_% | 170.69 | 776.38 |
| CAGR_% | 4.93 | 11.07 |
| annual_vol_% | 8.85 | 19.21 |
| sharpe | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| max_drawdown_% | -15.4 | -55.19 |
| calmar | 0.32 | 0.2 |
| n_years | 20.7 | 20.7 |
Current Signal State (validated strategy, latest bar)
Confidence filter: min trend strength = 2.0 ·
269 trades taken · 1561 signals skipped as too weak
| Ticker | Signal | Action | Price | SMA Fast |
SMA Slow | 12m Mom | Strength | Reasoning |
|---|
| DBC | long |
WOULD TRADE |
34.1 | 32.39 | 28.97 |
56.94% | 7.136 |
Uptrend confirmed, trend strength 7.14 clears the 2.0 threshold. |
| TLT | short |
WOULD TRADE |
81.34 | 80.26 | 83.31 |
-7.55% | 3.537 |
Downtrend confirmed, trend strength 3.54 clears the 2.0 threshold. |
| GLD | short |
WOULD TRADE |
366.61 | 394.5 | 414.21 |
-2.83% | 3.461 |
Downtrend confirmed, trend strength 3.46 clears the 2.0 threshold. |
| SPY | long |
WOULD TRADE |
759.97 | 766.9 | 724.0 |
15.03% | 6.019 |
Uptrend confirmed, trend strength 6.02 clears the 2.0 threshold. |
Recent Trades
| Ticker | Dir | Entry | Exit | Held | P&L | Exit Reason |
|---|
| GLD | short |
2026-10-14 00:00:00 | 2026-10-15 00:00:00 |
1d |
-1,206.66 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | short |
2026-08-31 00:00:00 | 2026-09-02 00:00:00 |
2d |
+203.27 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | short |
2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 2026-08-19 00:00:00 |
20d |
-427.52 | signal_reverse |
| GLD | long |
2024-01-17 00:00:00 | 2026-06-30 00:00:00 |
895d |
+46,449.96 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | long |
2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 2026-03-20 00:00:00 |
94d |
-745.10 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | long |
2025-11-14 00:00:00 | 2025-12-03 00:00:00 |
19d |
+333.52 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | long |
2025-10-13 00:00:00 | 2025-11-14 00:00:00 |
32d |
-885.19 | stop_loss |
| TLT | short |
2025-09-08 00:00:00 | 2025-09-15 00:00:00 |
7d |
-257.48 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | short |
2025-08-01 00:00:00 | 2025-09-08 00:00:00 |
38d |
-1,361.90 | stop_loss |
| TLT | short |
2025-07-07 00:00:00 | 2025-08-01 00:00:00 |
25d |
-1,244.74 | stop_loss |
| TLT | short |
2025-06-12 00:00:00 | 2025-07-03 00:00:00 |
21d |
-76.42 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | short |
2025-06-03 00:00:00 | 2025-06-12 00:00:00 |
9d |
-1,363.61 | stop_loss |
| TLT | short |
2025-05-29 00:00:00 | 2025-06-02 00:00:00 |
4d |
+416.83 | signal_reverse |
| TLT | short |
2025-05-21 00:00:00 | 2025-05-29 00:00:00 |
8d |
-1,394.97 | stop_loss |
| SPY | long |
2023-05-08 00:00:00 | 2025-04-04 00:00:00 |
697d |
+12,625.24 | signal_reverse |
Performance by Ticker
| Ticker | Trades | Win Rate | Total P&L |
|---|
| SPY | 35 | 37.1% |
+57,980.37 |
| GLD | 70 | 22.9% |
+54,320.13 |
| DBC | 88 | 21.6% |
+17,593.33 |
| TLT | 76 | 22.4% |
-1,223.52 |
This dashboard shows backtest results and current signal reads -- it does not
place, manage, or execute any live trades on its own. Past performance is not
a guarantee of future results.